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Emaar’s $41 Billion Backlog: What It Signals for Dubai's Property Market in 2025

Emaar’s $41 Billion Backlog: What It Signals for Dubai's Property Market in 2025

Emaar Properties, the name behind Burj Khalifa and The Dubai Mall, just released financial results that are making waves well beyond the UAE. The company's performance is more than just impressive; it’s a clear sign of Dubai's solid market confidence and a preview of what’s to come.

For the first nine months of 2025, Emaar pulled in a massive AED33.1 billion ($9 billion) in revenue. That’s a 39% jump from last year. This isn't a small bump. It's a powerful indicator of serious momentum.

Key profitability metrics also climbed, with operational profits hitting AED16.6 billion ($4.5 billion), a 32% increase. These are the kinds of numbers that get global investors to sit up and pay attention to what's happening in the Emirates.

The Real Story: A $41 Billion Future

Today's revenue is one thing, but the bigger story for anyone with an eye on the market is in the future. Emaar is sitting on a record-breaking revenue backlog of AED150.3 billion ($41 billion).

What is a backlog? It’s basically secured future income. It represents the money Emaar has already locked in from properties sold but not yet handed over. This isn't a projection; it's guaranteed revenue that will be recognized in the coming years.

This has a couple of direct impacts:

  • For investors and buyers: This backlog points to sustained, high demand. That is very likely to keep pushing property prices upward, especially in the prime areas Emaar dominates. Sitting on the sidelines probably isn't the best strategy anymore.
  • For the market: A backlog this large acts as a fortress of financial stability. It ensures a steady pipeline of development and project delivery, which supports the long-term value of Dubai real estate as a whole.

The Secret to Emaar's 'A' Grade Stability

This level of success hasn't gone unnoticed. Top credit rating agencies S&P Global and Moody’s have both given Emaar a thumbs up, upgrading their ratings to BBB+ and Baa1 with a stable outlook. But this isn't just about selling a lot of apartments.

The real driver behind these ratings is Emaar’s smart, diversified business model. While property sales are booming, hitting AED61 billion ($16.6 billion), the company also earns steady, reliable income from its other ventures.

Take its shopping malls and retail arm. Revenue there grew 12% to AED4.7 billion ($1.3 billion), and tenant occupancy is nearly perfect at over 98%. This combination of high-profit development and stable, recurring income from retail and hospitality creates a very resilient financial structure. It’s a model that credit agencies love to see.

As a Senior Real Estate Investment Analyst from Horizon Capital Group’s Dubai office put it, the synergy is key. The different parts of Emaar's business, from property to retail, create a system that reinforces itself, boosts asset value, and keeps revenue flowing. That's a winning formula in a dynamic market like Dubai's.

Emaar’s latest report is a clear blueprint for growth. It confirms Dubai’s standing as a top-tier global investment hub, showing that the forces driving its real estate market are stronger than ever.